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Sarah Laderman
Nikita Degtyarev
Elin Bergner
Marcy R. Fowler
January 07, 2025

DPRK Nuclear Futures Workshop

In February 2024, VERTIC, ONN, and CNS held a two-day workshop to assess the future of the DPRK’s nuclear programme. The event examined scenarios for weapons-usable nuclear material production, delivery systems and verification options in potential agreements. Using expert elicitation and forecastin...
DPRK Nuclear Futures Workshop
Elin Bergner
Sarah Laderman
Marcy R. Fowler
November 28, 2024

The Nexus of Non-Traditional Security and Nuclear Risk

Implications for EU Foreign Policy in the Indo-Pacific
The updated European Union (EU) Indo–Pacific Strategy highlights the growing strategic importance of the region for the EU’s foreign policy goals, incorporating both traditional security matters and non-traditional security (NTS) concerns. However, the strategy falls short by siloing policy implemen...
EUNPDC NTS
November 27, 2024

ONN together with VERTIC visit CTBTO

Open Nuclear Network and Verification Research, Training and Information Centre (VERTIC) had the pleasure of meeting with Robert Floyd to discuss recent work and current developments.
ONN, VERTIC at CTBTO
Bridget Williams, Ezra Karger, Andreas Persbo, Kseniia Pirnavskaia, Karim Kamel, Victoria Schmidt, Otto Kuusela, Zach Jacobs, Philip E. Tetlock
October 29, 2024

Can Humanity Achieve a Century of Nuclear Peace?

Expert Forecasts of Nuclear Risk
While the world has avoided large-scale nuclear war, questions remain about the role of chance versus policy choices in preventing such events. This study systematically assesses expert beliefs about the probability of a nuclear catastrophe by 2045, the centenary of the bombings of Hiroshima and Nag...
Cover of ONN-FRI report
Sarah Laderman
Elin Bergner
Marcy R. Fowler
August 13, 2024

DPRK Nuclear Weapons Development - Literature Review

There exists no recent comprehensive literature review related to the DPRK’s nuclear weapons development capabilities and associated strategy. This paper seeks to fill this gap by compiling and summarising all major published analyses released since 2017.
DPRK Nuclear Weapons Development - Literature Review
August 12, 2024

ONN Attends the 2024 NPT Preparatory Committee

From 22 July to 2 August, Open Nuclear Network (ONN) participated in the Preparatory Committee (PrepCom) for the 2026 Review Conference of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) in Geneva, Switzerland. This was the second of three sessions leading up to the 2026 Review Conferen...
ONN at PrepCom 2024
July 15, 2024

FRI-ONN Project: Forecasting Nuclear Catastrophe

The Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) and Open Nuclear Network (ONN), in association with the University of Pennsylvania, are conducting a comprehensive study aimed at understanding the spectrum of expert opinions on the risk of nuclear catastrophes in the upcoming decades.
ONN-FRI Joint Project
June 20, 2024

Open Nuclear Network Joins PAX sapiens

We are pleased to announce that starting in June 2024, Open Nuclear Network (ONN) will join the PAX sapiens (PAX) foundation, which is part of the Marcel Arsenault and Cynda Collins Arsenault family of foundations.
PAX logo
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