Reducing nuclear risk
While the world has avoided large-scale nuclear war, questions remain about the role of chance versus policy choices in preventing such events. This study systematically assesses expert beliefs about the probability of a nuclear catastrophe by 2045, the centenary of the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
Open Nuclear Network (ONN) and Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) are pleased to invite you to an upcoming hybrid side event “A Gamble of Our Own Choosing: Forecasting Strategies to Reduce Nuclear Risks” at the UNGA First Committee, New York. The side event is co-sponsored by the UN Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA) and Austria.
ONN Senior Analyst Sarah Laderman, Research Assistant Nikita Degtyarev, Analyst Tianran Xu, Research Assistant Elin Bergner and Research and Analysis Manager Marcy R Fowler authored a report "Fissile Material and Nuclear Force Structure in North Korea" for The Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies (RUSI), providing an in-depth analysis of North Korea's approach to its nuclear force structure.