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July 15, 2024

FRI-ONN Project: Forecasting Nuclear Catastrophe

The Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) and Open Nuclear Network (ONN), in association with the University of Pennsylvania, are conducting a comprehensive study aimed at understanding the spectrum of expert opinions on the risk of nuclear catastrophes in the upcoming decades.
June 20, 2024

Open Nuclear Network Joins PAX sapiens

We are pleased to announce that starting in June 2024, Open Nuclear Network (ONN) will join the PAX sapiens (PAX) foundation, which is part of the Marcel Arsenault and Cynda Collins Arsenault family of foundations.
February 05, 2024

Event Horizon News Digest

Methodology and Scope Note
Event Horizon is a news digest focusing on monitoring emerging risks before they become visible crises. It examines developing stories with significant implications for global stability, stories that may breach critical thresholds beyond which escalation may become irreversible.
Jaewoo Shin
Tianran Xu
Elin Bergner
January 04, 2024

Nuclear Risk Assessment Report - December 2023

Nuclear risk can emanate from various factors. These range from the more obvious military developments and incidents that could lead to increased tensions and possibly even nuclear misuse, to the often overlooked domestic and external contexts in which a country perceives its circumstances and, base...
November 09, 2023

Nuclear Risk Assessment Report - October 2023

Nuclear risk can emanate from various factors. These range from the more obvious military developments and incidents that could lead to increased tensions and possibly even nuclear misuse, to the often overlooked domestic and external contexts in which a country perceives its circumstances and, base...