Publications and Analyses
StoryMaps: High-Explosives Testing in the DPRK and Comparative Analyses to Nuclear-Armed States
As part of the multi-year project, Open-Source Assessments of the DPRK’s Nuclear Programme, we are releasing a suite of interactive maps and deep-dive analyses into the DPRK’s high-explosive testing infrastructure. By comparing North Korean facilities with known sites in other nuclear-armed states, this research provides a new baseline for understanding the DPRK's progress toward sophisticated weaponisation
The Geography of Nuclear Restraint in a Fragmenting Order
As arms control erodes, nuclear-weapon-free zones are becoming among the last durable frameworks for collective nuclear restraint. This ONN report finds that NWFZs strengthen regional confidence, safeguards, and nuclear governance, yet remain unevenly supported, constrained by capacity gaps, weak coordination, unresolved protocols, and structural blind spots requiring renewed political attention today.
US-China Nuclear Escalation Risk
This ONN assessment maps the pathways that could drive U.S.-China nuclear escalation by 2030, finding that forward U.S. nuclear deployments in the Indo-Pacific are the most significant amplifier of risk.